There is an element of society that engages in not-so-appropriate activity. In that, there is too often some human tendency to believe "it cannot happen to me" or "cannot happen here." This is an optimism bias or predisposition. See Langham, Unseen Influence: Unconscious Predisposition in Dispute Resolution (2025). We all suffer from predispositions.
That said, it can happen to any of us. That "it" is almost anything. There is deception, aggression, and worse in this world. These thoughts returned when the Associated Press (AP) ran a story some years ago about a "federal judge robbed at gunpoint at home." The idea of violence in the world is a bit easier to disregard than such a threat at home.
The experience could not have been anything but terrifying. Late one Friday night, three miscreants are alleged to have "kicked in the basement door" and started "removing items from the house." At that point, it was a simple burglary. The judge's husband then confronted the alleged miscreants, and the situation deteriorated.
They were both "held at gunpoint while they were robbed" of valuables. One was "pushed down" some stairs, resulting in injury. There was then an attempt to steal their automobile, but that ended with the miscreants spooked and fleeing the scene. The burgled/robbed couple called the police.
The AP noted somewhat stoically that "the couple is uneasy about what happened." Police noted that such an experience is "a little unnerving." And they say the art of understatement is a lost skill.
Coincidentally, on this occasion, "police in (a) neighboring" town happened to make a traffic stop when a car failed to stop at a stop sign. The officer(s) there suspected the vehicle occupants of being involved in the robbery, and a search revealed some of the stolen items in the car.
Soon thereafter, two of the three pled guilty to a string of charges, related by WLWT5. That coverage provides more detail of the miscreants following the two victims' home based on their "luxury car," and witnessing them entering their "27,000-square-foot home."
The two were sentenced to minimums of 18 and 20 years in prison. Mr. Kinney was 21 at the time and will therefore be 39 when released in 2033. Mr. Jackson, who did the pushing down the stairs, was also 21 and will be 42 when he is released in 2036. A third also pled guilty and was similarly sentenced according to WLWT5.
One wonders, perhaps, whether the three would ever have been caught if their driver had not run the stop sign.
The folks at Pew note that many crimes are never reported:
"Only about half of the violent crimes and a third of the property crimes that occur in the United States each year are reported to police."
Only a fraction of the reported crimes are "cleared":
"46% of the violent crimes and 19% of the property crimes reported to police in the U.S. were cleared."
These statistics are independently concerning. But consider that if only half the violent crimes are reported, and less than half of those are "cleared," that means about 25% of all violent crimes are "cleared."
If only a third of property crime is reported, and 19% of those are cleared, that means that 6% of all property crimes are "cleared."
Additionally, our police make about 13 million traffic stops annually, "5.2% of the driving population" (not counting accidents). There is always the chance that such a stop has broader implications, but most are primarily revenue-generating driver fines. There is, seemingly, more interest in traffic enforcement than in property crime.
According to the Prison Policy Initiative, we have "nearly two million people behind bars" in the U.S. We spend $445 billion annually to house them. While those are significant figures, worthy of thought, the vast majority of the actual crime is apparently never cleared.
The contradiction is curious. To quote the eloquent police officer above, it is all "a little unnerving."


